The NCAA put a number on the second trip through the transfer portal this week. Among Football Bowl Subdivision players who started college in 2018-19, 85 percent of those who never transferred graduated within six years. Among those who transferred more than once, 58 percent did.
The figures come from an NCAA research release dated Nov. 11 that followed nearly 36,000 Division I athletes for six years. About 24,500 had no record of a transfer, nearly 7,700 transferred once, and about 3,800 attended three or more schools. More than a third of the class moved at least once.
NCAA Transfer Graduation Rates: 88 Percent for Non-Transfers, 71 for Multiple Transfers
Across all sports, 88 percent of non-transfers graduated within six years, against 71 percent of athletes who transferred more than once. The NCAA said multiple transfers typically ran about 10 points behind one-time transfers and 15 to 20 points behind athletes who stayed, whatever the sport, race or gender.
In the Football Championship Subdivision the drop was 83 percent to 62. For Black athletes in all sports it was 82 percent with no transfer and 62 percent with more than one, with one-time transfers at 74, according to the Associated Press report carried by ESPN. Women's basketball went from 90 percent to 77.
Men's Basketball One-Time Transfers Graduated at 80 Percent
One line in the data cuts the other way. In men's basketball, players who transferred once graduated at 80 percent, higher than the 74 percent for players who never left. The AP noted that one-time transfers in that sport often finish a degree at the first school and then move for a final season. Multiple transfers in men's basketball came in at 67 percent.
Two cautions for anyone reading the numbers. The class entered college in 2018, so it can't yet say anything about athletes who started under today's rules. And the data shows that multiple transfers and lower graduation rates travel together. It does not show which causes which.
Charlie Baker Ties the Data to the Protect College Sports Act
NCAA President Charlie Baker told the AP the numbers are a "flashing red warning sign" about transfer rules imposed by courts. The NCAA is pressing Congress to pass the Protect College Sports Act, which would limit future eligibility lawsuits. Its path in the House is uncertain, the AP reported.
The next football portal window is the 10-day January window the NCAA approved last week. More transfer coverage is on the BallerTube portal news page.